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A farewell to critical junctures : sorting out long-run causality of income and democracy

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dc.creator Gundlach, Erich
dc.creator Paldam, Martin
dc.date 2008
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:03:55Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:03:55Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier Working paper Institut for Økonomi, Århus 2008,4
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/4181
dc.identifier ppn:55855895X
dc.identifier ppn:55855895X
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/4181
dc.description We consider the empirical relevance of two opposing hypotheses on the causality between income and democracy: The Democratic Transition claims that rising incomes cause a transition to democracy, whereas the Critical Junctures hypothesis denies this causal relation. Our empirical strategy is justified by Unified Growth Theory, which hypothesizes that the present international income differences have roots in the prehistoric past. Thus, we use prehistoric measures of biogeography as instruments for modern income levels, and find a large long-run causal effect of income on the degree of democracy. This result rejects the Critical Junctures hypothesis, which is an important part of the Primacy of Institutions view.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Institut for Økonomi, Århus
dc.relation Working paper, Institut for Økonomi, Århus 2008,4
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject B25
dc.subject O1
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Long-run growth
dc.subject democracy
dc.subject unified growth theory
dc.subject biogeography
dc.subject Wirtschaftswachstum
dc.subject Wachstumstheorie
dc.subject Demokratisierung
dc.subject Evolutionsökonomik
dc.subject Ökonomische Theorie der Demokratie
dc.title A farewell to critical junctures : sorting out long-run causality of income and democracy
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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