DSpace Repository

Shocks, policy reforms and pro-poor growth in Bolivia : a simulation analysis

Show simple item record

dc.creator Lay, Jann
dc.creator Thiele, Rainer
dc.creator Wiebelt, Manfred
dc.date 2008
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:18:39Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:18:39Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier Review of development economics 1363-6669 12 2008 1 37-56
dc.identifier doi:10.1111/j.1467-9361.2007.00394.x
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/4173
dc.identifier ppn:558330061
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/4173
dc.description This paper analyzes how major external shocks and policy reforms affect Bolivia's ability to achieve pro-poor growth. Employing a recursive-dynamic CGE model, it considers three different scenarios: an optimistic baseline scenario; a more realistic scenario that accounts for two important negative external shocks (declining capital inflows and El Niño); and a scenario that captures the combined effect of the shocks and two major reform projects (development of the gas sector and deregulation of the urban labor market). It turns out that the shocks are likely to impair Bolivia's medium-term development prospects, leading to marked increases in both urban and rural poverty. If the reform projects were implemented, the poverty increase caused by the shocks would be more than offset for urban households, but reinforced for rural households.
dc.language eng
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Wirtschaftsreform
dc.subject Schock
dc.subject Armut
dc.subject Wirtschaftswachstum
dc.subject Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Bolivien
dc.title Shocks, policy reforms and pro-poor growth in Bolivia : a simulation analysis
dc.type doc-type:article

Files in this item

Files Size Format View

There are no files associated with this item.

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record

Search DSpace

Advanced Search


My Account