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Exchange rate policy in a dollarized economy: A CGE analysis for Bolivia

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dc.creator Schweickert, Rainer
dc.creator Thiele, Rainer
dc.creator Wiebelt, Manfred
dc.date 2005
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:18:25Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:18:25Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/3669
dc.identifier ppn:495868477
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/3669
dc.description In this paper, a real-financial CGE model is employed for Bolivia to simulate the macroeconomic and distributional effects of exchange rate policy in a highly dollarized economy. Overall, dollarization appears to matter more through real than through financial-sector effects. The main macroeconomic result of the simulations is that the potential of nominal devaluation to smooth the adjustment path after a negative shock primarily depends on the absence of wage indexation. Only if nominal wages are constant in the short run, devaluation reduces unemployment and cushions the reduction of real GDP induced by the shock. Financial de-dollarization tends to be contractionary in Bolivia but different degrees of financial dollarization hardly change the real sector effects. As concerns distributional effects, nominal devaluation in no circumstance reduces the poverty effect of the external shock. Even the significant short-run macroeconomic expansion that occurs without wage indexation does not translate into significant poverty alleviation, which is due to the fact that the real value of transfers received by households decreases in this case.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Kieler Arbeitspapiere 1255
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject C68
dc.subject O16
dc.subject D3
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Dollarization
dc.subject Poverty
dc.subject Computable General Equilibrium Model
dc.subject Bolivia
dc.subject Wechselkurspolitik
dc.subject Währungssubstitution
dc.subject Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Bolivien
dc.title Exchange rate policy in a dollarized economy: A CGE analysis for Bolivia
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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