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Explaining the increased German credit spread: The role of supply factors

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dc.creator Brown, Alessio J. G.
dc.creator Žarnić, Žiga
dc.date 2003
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:18:12Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:18:12Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/3225
dc.identifier ppn:387152466
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/3225
dc.description Since 1999 an increase in magnitude and volatility of the credit spread is observable in the German bond market. This paper analyses the credit spread of German industrial bonds focussing on the one hand on the recent period of high volatility of the credit spread and on the other hand on possible influences of structural demand and supply effects. Our empirical estimation is conducted using an Error Correction Model (ECM) for a dataset of monthly time series from 1970 to 2003. We provide evidence on a significant impact of supply effects on the credit spread. Our in-sample forecasts trace the volatility of the credit spread surprisingly well.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Institut für Weltwirtschaft, Kiel
dc.relation Kiel Advanced Studies working papers 412
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Industrieobligation
dc.subject Zinsstruktur
dc.subject Risikoprämie
dc.subject Rentenmarkt
dc.subject Angebot
dc.subject Bias
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Deutschland
dc.title Explaining the increased German credit spread: The role of supply factors
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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