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Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment Using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-Section Data

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dc.creator Güell, Maia
dc.creator Hu, Luojia
dc.date 2004
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:09:55Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:09:55Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/20314
dc.identifier ppn:383870445
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/20314
dc.description This paper proposes a new econometric estimation method for analyzing the probability of leaving unemployment using uncompleted spells from repeated cross-section data, which can be especially useful when panel data are not available. The proposed method-ofmoments- based estimator has two important features: (1) it estimates the exit probability at the individual level and (2) it does not rely on the stationarity assumption of the inflow composition. We illustrate and gauge the performance of the proposed estimator using Spanish Labor Force Survey data, and analyze the changes in distribution of unemployment between the 1980s and 1990s during a period of labor market reform. We find that the relative probability of leaving unemployment for the short-term unemployed compared to the long-term unemployed becomes significantly higher in the 1990s.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation IZA Discussion paper series 1079
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject J64
dc.subject C41
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject repeated cross-section data
dc.subject GMM
dc.subject duration analysis
dc.subject unemployment
dc.subject Arbeitslosigkeit
dc.subject Dauer
dc.subject Berufliche Integration
dc.subject Momentenmethode
dc.subject Statistische Bestandsanalyse
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Arbeitsmarktflexibilisierung
dc.subject Spanien
dc.title Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment Using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-Section Data
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper
dc.coverage 1978-1994


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