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A Life-Cycle Model of Outmigration and Economic Assimilation of Immigrants in Germany

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dc.creator Bellemare, Charles
dc.date 2004
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:09:30Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:09:30Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/20247
dc.identifier ppn:378769596
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/20247
dc.description This paper estimates a structural dynamic life-cycle model of outmigration where, in each period, immigrants choose whether to work in the host country, not to work but remain in the host country, or outmigrate. The model incorporates several features of existing life-cycle theories of outmigration but distinguishes itself by introducing uncertainty in about future earnings and preferences which allows immigrants to revise their duration decisions throughout their migration experience. We overcome the problem of not directly observing outmigration movements by using panel attrition as a proxy variable and use a simple method to correct for the fact that part of the attrition is not a consequence of outmigration. Estimates are used to predict changes in life-cycle patterns of outmigration behavior. Estimation results indicate that outmigration does not depend exclusively on earnings differentials. Estimated assimilation rates are found to be robust to selection effects. Immigrants are found to be forward looking decision makers, and simulations show that predicted migration durations are very sensitive to changes in their economic environment and differ considerably from those of a myopic model.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation IZA Discussion paper series 1012
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject J61
dc.subject C61
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject outmigration
dc.subject structural dynamic programming models
dc.subject Rückwanderung
dc.subject Einwanderung
dc.subject Soziale Integration
dc.subject Migrationstheorie
dc.subject Dynamische Optimierung
dc.subject Lebenszyklus
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Deutschland
dc.title A Life-Cycle Model of Outmigration and Economic Assimilation of Immigrants in Germany
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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