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The Impact of Political Risk on Sovereign Bond Spreads - Evidence from Latin America

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dc.creator Moser, Christoph
dc.date 2007
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:07:20Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:07:20Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19887
dc.identifier ppn:560907222
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:gdec07:6804
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19887
dc.description Sovereign risk is defined as a country?s ability-to-pay and willingness-to-pay its debt. This paper examines how cabinet reshuffles affecting the ministry of finance or economics are perceived by sovereign bond holders in twelve Latin American countries from 1992 to 2005. We find that such political news instantaneously increases bond spreads. Furthermore, spreads trend significantly upward in the 40 days leading up to the minister change, before flattening out on a higher level in the 40 days thereafter. Evidence suggests that uncertainty about the future course of economic policy and the government?s willingness-to-pay increases refinancing costs for respective emerging markets.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Göttingen 2007 / Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics 24
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject G14
dc.subject H63
dc.subject F34
dc.subject F30
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject political instability
dc.subject country risk
dc.subject bond spreads
dc.subject Latin America
dc.subject Portfolio-Investition
dc.subject Öffentliche Anleihe
dc.subject Politische Stabilität
dc.subject Risiko
dc.subject Öffentliche Schulden
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Lateinamerika
dc.title The Impact of Political Risk on Sovereign Bond Spreads - Evidence from Latin America
dc.type doc-type:conferenceObject
dc.coverage 1992-2005


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