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The macroeconomic effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Germany: a disaggregated SVAR analysis

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dc.creator Wolff, Guntram B.
dc.creator Tenhofen, Jörn
dc.creator Heppke-Falk, Kirsten H.
dc.date 2006
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:06:14Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:06:14Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19670
dc.identifier ppn:521621631
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:5169
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19670
dc.description We investigate the short-term effects of fiscal policy shocks on the German economy following the SVAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002). We find that direct government expenditure shocks increase output and private consumption on impact with low statistical significance, while they decrease private investment, though insignificantly. For the sub-category government investment – in contrast to government consumption – a positive output effect is found, which is statistically significant until 12 quarters ahead. Allowing for anticipation effects of fiscal policy does not change the sign of the positive consumption response. Anticipated expenditure shocks have significant effects on output when the shock is realized, but not in the period of anticipation. In sum, effects of expenditure shocks are only short-lived. Government net revenue shocks do not affect output with statistical significance. However, when splitting up this aggregate, direct taxes lower output significantly, while small indirect tax revenue shocks have little effects. Compensation of public employees is equally not effective in stimulating the economy.
dc.language eng
dc.relation Discussion paper Series 1 / Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum der Deutschen Bundesbank 2006,41
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject H30
dc.subject E62
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Fiscal policy
dc.subject government spending
dc.subject net revenue
dc.subject policy anticipation
dc.subject structural vector autoregression
dc.subject Finanzpolitik
dc.subject Schock
dc.subject Wirtschaftspolitische Wirkungsanalyse
dc.subject Makroökonomischer Einfluss
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Deutschland
dc.title The macroeconomic effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Germany: a disaggregated SVAR analysis
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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