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A reappraisal of the evidence on PPP: a systematic investigation into MA roots in panel unit root tests and their implications

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dc.creator Fischer, Christoph
dc.creator Porath, Daniel
dc.date 2006
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:06:08Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:06:08Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19651
dc.identifier ppn:516360817
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:4721
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19651
dc.description Panel unit root tests of real exchange rates – as opposed to univariate tests – usually reject non-stationarity. These tests, however, could be biased if the real exchange rate contained MA roots. Indeed, two independent arguments claim that the real exchange rate, being a sum of a stationary and a non-stationary component, is possibly an ARIMA (1, 1, 1) process. Monte Carlo simulations show, how systematic changes in the parameters of the components, of the test equation and of the correlation matrix affect the size of first and second generation panel unit root tests. Two components of the real exchange rate, the real exchange rate of a single good and a weighted sum of relative prices, are constructed from the data for a panel of countries. Computation of the relevant parameters reveals that panel unit root tests of the real exchange rate are severely oversized, usually much more so than simple ADF tests. Thus, the evidence for PPP from panel unit root tests may be merely due to extreme size biases.
dc.language eng
dc.relation Discussion paper Series 1 / Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum der Deutschen Bundesbank 2006,23
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject F31
dc.subject C33
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject panel unit root test
dc.subject purchasing power parity
dc.subject real exchange rate
dc.subject Monte Carlo simulation
dc.subject Kaufkraftparität
dc.subject Unit Root Test
dc.subject Monte-Carlo-Methode
dc.subject Panel
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Industriestaaten
dc.title A reappraisal of the evidence on PPP: a systematic investigation into MA roots in panel unit root tests and their implications
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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