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Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany

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dc.creator Antzoulatos, Angelos A.
dc.creator Wilfling, Bernd
dc.date 2003
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:03:21Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:03:21Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19164
dc.identifier ppn:361940289
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:hwwadp:26169
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19164
dc.description Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if not taken sufficiently into account in forecasting, may lead to predictable forecast errors. We use this insight to identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD?s forecasts for Germany?s consumption and GDP growth.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation HWWA Discussion Paper 223
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject C53
dc.subject E21
dc.subject E37
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Consumption
dc.subject GDP
dc.subject macroeconomic forecasts
dc.subject non-linear dynamics
dc.subject Gesamtwirtschaftlicher Konsum
dc.subject Prognoseverfahren
dc.subject Statistischer Fehler
dc.subject Einkommenshypothese
dc.subject Nichtlineare dynamische Systeme
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Theorie
dc.subject Deutschland
dc.title Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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