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Political competition and convergence to fundamentals : with application to the political business cycle and the size of government

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dc.creator Ferris, J. Stephen
dc.creator Park, Soo-Bin
dc.creator Winer, Stanley L.
dc.date 2006
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:02:58Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:02:58Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19110
dc.identifier ppn:510010679
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19110
dc.description We address the problem of how to investigate whether economics, or politics, or both, matter in the explanation of public policy. The problem is first posed in a particular context by uncovering a political business cycle (using Canadian data for 130 years) and by taking up the challenge to make this fact meaningful by finding a transmission mechanism through actual public choices. Since the cycle is in real growth, and it is reasonable to suppose that public expenditure would be involved, the central task then is to investigate the role of (partisan and opportunistic) political factors, as opposed to economic fundamentals, in the evolution of government size. We proceed by asking whether the data allow us to distinguish between the convergence and the nonconvergence hypotheses. Convergence means that political competition forces public spending to converge in the long run to a level dictated by endowments, tastes and technology. Nonconvergence is taken to mean that political factors other than the degree of political competition prevent convergence to that long run. The general idea here, one that may be applied in any situation where the key issue is the role of economics versus politics over time, is that an overtly political factor can be said to play a distinct role in the evolution of public choices if it can be shown to lead to departures from a dynamic path defined by the evolution of economic fundamentals in a competitive political system.
dc.language eng
dc.relation CESifo working papers 1646
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject H1
dc.subject H3
dc.subject H5
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject public expenditure
dc.subject size of government
dc.subject long run versus short run
dc.subject opportunism
dc.subject partisanship
dc.subject political competition
dc.subject cointegration
dc.subject Öffentliche Ausgaben
dc.subject Public Choice
dc.subject Staatsquote
dc.subject Real Business Cycle
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Kanada
dc.title Political competition and convergence to fundamentals : with application to the political business cycle and the size of government
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper
dc.coverage 1870-2000


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