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Has the stability and growth pact impeded political budget cycles in the European Union?

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dc.creator Mink, Mark
dc.creator de Haan, Jakob
dc.date 2005
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:02:21Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:02:21Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18996
dc.identifier ppn:500839859
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18996
dc.description This paper examines whether there is a political budget cycle (PBC) in countries in the euro area. Using a multivariate model for the period 1999-2004 and various election indicators we find strong evidence that the Stability and Growth Pact has not restricted fiscal policy makers in the euro area in pursuing expansionary policies before elections. In an election-year – but not in the year prior to the election – the budget deficit increases. This result is in line with third generation PBC models, which are based on moral hazard. We also find a significant but small partisan effect on fiscal policy outcomes.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation CESifo working papers 1532
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject D78
dc.subject E62
dc.subject D72
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject fiscal policy
dc.subject political budget cycle
dc.subject Stability and Growth Pact
dc.subject Finanzpolitik
dc.subject Politischer Konjunkturzyklus
dc.subject EU-Stabilitätspakt
dc.subject Moral Hazard
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
dc.subject EU-Staaten
dc.title Has the stability and growth pact impeded political budget cycles in the European Union?
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper
dc.coverage 1999-2004


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