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Fertility, mortality, and the developed worlds demographic transition

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dc.creator Fehr, Hans
dc.creator Jokisch, Sabine
dc.creator Kotlikoff, Laurence J.
dc.date 2004
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:00:53Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:00:53Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18691
dc.identifier ppn:477409733
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18691
dc.description This study uses Fehr, Jokisch, and Kotlikoff?s (2004a) dynamic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of changes in fertility and mortality on the developed world?s demographic transition. The model features three regions – the U.S., Japan, and the EU-15 – and incorporates age- and time-specific fertility and mortality rates, detailed fiscal institutions, and international capital mobility, subject to adjustment costs. Our simulations confirm the offsetting fiscal and economic consequences of both higher fertility and lower mortality rates. The simulations indicate very minor effects on the developed world?s rather bleak baseline transition path from either major increases in fertility rates or major reductions in mortality rates.
dc.language eng
dc.relation CESifo working papers 1326
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject D58
dc.subject H55
dc.subject J11
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject demographic transition
dc.subject computable general equilibrium model (CGE )
dc.subject fertility
dc.subject mortality
dc.subject Bevölkerungspolitik
dc.subject Alternde Bevölkerung
dc.subject Bevölkerungsökonomie
dc.subject Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
dc.subject Demographischer Übergang
dc.subject Vereinigte Staaten
dc.subject Japan
dc.subject EU-Staaten
dc.title Fertility, mortality, and the developed worlds demographic transition
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper
dc.coverage 2000-2100

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