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Who gets the Credit? : determinants of the probability of default in the German hospital sector

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dc.creator Augurzky, Boris
dc.creator Engel, Dirk
dc.creator Schwierz, Christoph
dc.date 2006
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:00:46Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:00:46Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18605
dc.identifier ppn:522077684
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18605
dc.description Huge underinvestment increases the need for private borrowing in the German hospital sector, the access to which is partly determined by the probability of default (PD) of individual hospitals. Using ordinary least squares and quantile regression techniques this paper provides first empirical evidence of its kind to evaluate the PD in the hospital sector and its constituent determinants. Based on annual account and medical data from 17% of all German hospitals we find that the current average probability of default amounts to approximately 1.7%, which is slightly higher than the average probability for all German firms. Among other determinants, we find that public ownership significantly increases the risk of default, while private for-profit and private not-for-profit hospitals do not differ. Moreover, demographic change in the form of population growth is confirmed to be relevant for the PD.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation RWI Discussion Papers 54
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject I11
dc.subject L31
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Hospital profitability
dc.subject quantile regression
dc.subject probability of default
dc.subject ownership type theories
dc.title Who gets the Credit? : determinants of the probability of default in the German hospital sector
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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