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Mis-Leading Indicators? The Argentinean Currency Crisis

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dc.creator Plata, Patricia Alvarez
dc.creator Schrooten, Mechthild
dc.date 2003
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:58:07Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:58:07Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18063
dc.identifier ppn:368872785
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18063
dc.description Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from recession for years the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis has surprised most observers. This paper analyzes whether the ?early warning? or ?signals? approach of Kaminsky (1998), Kaminsky/Lizondo/Reinhart (1998) and Kaminsky/Reinhart (1999) could have predicted the Argentinean currency crisis at an earlier point in time. Using a broad set of indicators, it is shown that the forecasting quality of this approach was poor in the case of Argentina.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlin
dc.relation DIW-Diskussionspapiere 327
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject F31
dc.subject F47
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Currency Crisis
dc.subject Early Warning Systems
dc.subject Währungskrise
dc.subject Wirtschaftsindikator
dc.subject Frühwarnsystem
dc.subject Argentinien
dc.title Mis-Leading Indicators? The Argentinean Currency Crisis
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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