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Non-Self-Averaging in Macroeconomic Models: A Criticism of Modern Micro-founded Macroeconomics

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dc.creator Aoki, Masanao
dc.creator Yoshikawa, Hiroshi
dc.date 2007
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:57:39Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:57:39Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/17972
dc.identifier ppn:558414230
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:6807
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17972
dc.description Using a simple stochastic growth model, this paper demonstrates that the coefficient of variation of aggregate output or GDP does not necessarily go to zero even if the number of sectors or economic agents goes to infinity. This phenomenon known as non-self-averaging implies that even if the number of economic agents is large, dispersion can remain significant, and, therefore, that we can not legitimately focus on the means of aggregate variables. It, in turn, means that the standard microeconomic foundations based on the representative agent has little value for they are expected to provide us with accurate dynamics of the means of aggregate variables. The paper also shows that non-self-averaging emerges in some representative urn models. It suggests that non-self-averaging is not pathological but quite generic. Thus, contrary to the main stream view, micro-founded macroeconomics such as a dynamic general equilibrium model does not provide solid micro foundations.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Economics Discussion Papers / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 2007-49
dc.rights http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/de/deed.en
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Micro foundations
dc.subject Macroeconomics
dc.subject Non-self averaging phenomena
dc.subject Power laws
dc.title Non-Self-Averaging in Macroeconomic Models: A Criticism of Modern Micro-founded Macroeconomics
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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