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Is forward-looking inflation targeting destabilizing? : The role of policy's response to current output under endogenous investment

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dc.creator Huang, Kevin X. D.
dc.creator Meng, Qinglai
dc.date 2007
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:57:06Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:57:06Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/17862
dc.identifier ppn:534972950
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17862
dc.description In sticky price models with endogenous investment, virtually all monetary policy rules that set a nominal interest rate in response solely to future inflation induce real indeterminacy of equilibrium. Applying the Samuelson-Farebrother conditions, we obtain a necessary and su?cient condition for local real determinacy, which reveals that increasing price stickiness or letting policy respond also to current output may help ensure a unique equilibrium. We find that the first channel by itself has a quantitatively negligible effect and almost all strict inflation-targeting rules lead to indeterminacy, whether with higher price stickiness or overall stickiness by incorporating firm-specific capital, sticky wages, or both. The effect of the second avenue depends on labor supply elasticity and stickiness. With high labor supply elasticity and price stickiness, indeterminacy is much less likely to occur as policy also responds to output. With estimated labor supply elasticity or empirically reasonable price stickiness, policy's response to output helps little in ensuring determinacy; even incorporating firm-specific capital makes only a marginal improvement. Incorporating sticky wages, on the other hand, greatly enhances the role of policy's response to output in ensuring determinacy. With both sticky wages and firm-specific capital incorporated, even a tiny response of policy to current output can render equilibrium determinate for a wide range of response of policy to future inflation.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Kieler Arbeitspapiere 1348
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject E52
dc.subject E31
dc.subject E12
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Forward-looking inflation targeting
dc.subject Current output
dc.subject Sticky prices
dc.subject Sticky wages
dc.subject Firm-specific capital
dc.subject Endogenous investment
dc.subject Indeterminacy
dc.title Is forward-looking inflation targeting destabilizing? : The role of policy's response to current output under endogenous investment
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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