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How tight should one's hands be tied? Fear of floating and credibility of exchange rate regimes

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dc.creator Rodríguez Mendizábal, Hugo
dc.creator Rodríguez-López, Jesús
dc.date 2007-11-05T12:30:28Z
dc.date 2007-11-05T12:30:28Z
dc.date 2003-10-21
dc.date.accessioned 2017-01-31T00:57:59Z
dc.date.available 2017-01-31T00:57:59Z
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10261/1825
dc.identifier.uri http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10261/1825
dc.description This paper analyzes the linkages between the credibility of a target zone regime, the volatility of the exchange rate, and the width of the band where the exchange rate is allowed to fluctuate. These three concepts should be related since the band width induces a trade-off between credibility and volatility. Narrower bands should give less scope for the exchange rate to fluctuate but may make agents perceive a larger probability of realignment which by itself should increase the volatility of the exchange rate. We build a model where this trade-off is made explicit. The model is used to understand the reduction in volatility experienced by most EMS countries after their target zones were widened on August 1993. As a natural extension, the model also rationalizes the existence of non-official, implicit target zones (or fear of floating), suggested by some authors.
dc.language eng
dc.relation UFAE and IAE Working Papers
dc.relation 593.03
dc.rights openAccess
dc.subject Fear of floating
dc.subject Target zones
dc.subject Exchange rate arrangements
dc.subject Rational expectations, credibility
dc.title How tight should one's hands be tied? Fear of floating and credibility of exchange rate regimes
dc.type Documento de trabajo


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