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Temporal changes in programme outcomes among adult patients initiating antiretroviral therapy across South Africa, 2002-2007.

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dc.contributor Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, University of Cape Town, South Africa. morna@global.co.za
dc.creator Cornell, Morna
dc.creator Grimsrud, Anna
dc.creator Fairall, Lara
dc.creator Fox, Matthew P
dc.creator van Cutsem, Gilles
dc.creator Giddy, Janet
dc.creator Wood, Robin
dc.creator Prozesky, Hans
dc.creator Mohapi, Lerato
dc.creator Graber, Claire
dc.creator Egger, Matthias
dc.creator Boulle, Andrew
dc.creator Myer, Landon
dc.date 2010-09-10
dc.date.accessioned 2017-01-31T07:20:51Z
dc.date.available 2017-01-31T07:20:51Z
dc.identifier Temporal changes in programme outcomes among adult patients initiating antiretroviral therapy across South Africa, 2002-2007. 2010, 24 (14):2263-70 AIDS
dc.identifier 1473-5571
dc.identifier 20683318
dc.identifier 10.1097/QAD.0b013e32833d45c5
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10144/112716
dc.identifier http://fieldresearch.msf.org/msf/handle/10144/112716
dc.identifier AIDS (London, England)
dc.identifier.uri http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10144/112716
dc.description OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the temporal impact of the rapid scale-up of large antiretroviral therapy (ART) services on programme outcomes. We describe patient outcomes [mortality, loss-to-follow-up (LTFU) and retention] over time in a network of South African ART cohorts. DESIGN: Cohort analysis utilizing routinely collected patient data. METHODS: Analysis included adults initiating ART in eight public sector programmes across South Africa, 2002-2007. Follow-up was censored at the end of 2008. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate time to outcomes, and proportional hazards models to examine independent predictors of outcomes. RESULTS: Enrolment (n = 44 177, mean age 35 years; 68% women) increased 12-fold over 5 years, with 63% of patients enrolled in the past 2 years. Twelve-month mortality decreased from 9% to 6% over 5 years. Twelve-month LTFU increased annually from 1% (2002/2003) to 13% (2006). Cumulative LTFU increased with follow-up from 14% at 12 months to 29% at 36 months. With each additional year on ART, failure to retain participants was increasingly attributable to LTFU compared with recorded mortality. At 12 and 36 months, respectively, 80 and 64% of patients were retained. CONCLUSION: Numbers on ART have increased rapidly in South Africa, but the programme has experienced deteriorating patient retention over time, particularly due to apparent LTFU. This may represent true loss to care, but may also reflect administrative error and lack of capacity to monitor movements in and out of care. New strategies are needed for South Africa and other low-income and middle-income countries to improve monitoring of outcomes and maximize retention in care with increasing programme size.
dc.language en
dc.rights Published by Wolters Kluwer Lippincott Williams & Wilkins - Archived on this site by kind permission Wolters Kluwer
dc.title Temporal changes in programme outcomes among adult patients initiating antiretroviral therapy across South Africa, 2002-2007.


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