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http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19164| Title: | Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany |
| Keywords: | C53 E21 E37 ddc:330 Consumption GDP macroeconomic forecasts non-linear dynamics Gesamtwirtschaftlicher Konsum Prognoseverfahren Statistischer Fehler Einkommenshypothese Nichtlineare dynamische Systeme Schätzung Theorie Deutschland |
| Issue Date: | 16-Oct-2013 |
| Publisher: | |
| Description: | Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if not taken sufficiently into account in forecasting, may lead to predictable forecast errors. We use this insight to identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD?s forecasts for Germany?s consumption and GDP growth. |
| URI: | http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19164 |
| Other Identifiers: | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19164 ppn:361940289 RePEc:zbw:hwwadp:26169 |
| Appears in Collections: | EconStor |
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