Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19057
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dc.creatorMalley, Jim-
dc.creatorPhilippopoulos, Apostolis-
dc.creatorWoitek, Ulrich-
dc.date2005-
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-16T07:02:39Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-16T07:02:39Z-
dc.date.issued2013-10-16-
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/19057-
dc.identifierppn:503749419-
dc.identifier.urihttp://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19057-
dc.descriptionIn this paper we study the link between elections, fiscal policy and aggregate fluctuations. The set-up is a stylized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model incorporating both technology and political re-election shocks. The later are incorporated via a two-party model with elections. The main theoretical prediction is that forward-looking incumbents, with uncertain prospects of re-election, find it optimal to follow relatively shortsighted fiscal policies, and that this hurts capital accumulation. Our econometric estimation, using U.S. data, finds a statistically significant link between electoral uncertainty and policy instruments and in turn macroeconomic outcomes.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisher-
dc.relationCESifo working papers 1593-
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.subjectE6-
dc.subjectD9-
dc.subjectH5-
dc.subjectH1-
dc.subjectddc:330-
dc.subjectpolitical uncertainty-
dc.subjectbusiness cycles & growth-
dc.subjectoptimal policy-
dc.subjecthybrid maximum likelihood estimation-
dc.subjectWahlverhalten-
dc.subjectFinanzpolitik-
dc.subjectPolitischer Konjunkturzyklus-
dc.subjectSchätzung-
dc.subjectTheorie-
dc.subjectUSA-
dc.titleElectoral uncertainty, fiscal policy and macroeconomic fluctuations-
dc.typedoc-type:workingPaper-
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