Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18170
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dc.creatorFritsche, Ulrich-
dc.creatorKuzin, Vladimir N.-
dc.date2004-
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-16T06:58:34Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-16T06:58:34Z-
dc.date.issued2013-10-16-
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/18170-
dc.identifierppn:39096123X-
dc.identifier.urihttp://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18170-
dc.descriptionWe analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output growth can be either due to a change in the structure of the economy (a change in the propagation mechanism) or a reduced error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of the growth process. This is in contrast to the U.S. results. The structural change is more of a gradual nature than a sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the autoregressive parameter. A change in the conduct of monetary policy (the establishment of another monetary policy regime) could be part of an explanation for the change in propagation. Stochastic simulations with a New Keynesian DSGE model support our hypothesis.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlin-
dc.relationDIW-Diskussionspapiere 433-
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.subjectE32-
dc.subjectC51-
dc.subjectC22-
dc.subjectddc:330-
dc.subjectOutput-
dc.subjectVolatility-
dc.subjectMonetary Policy-
dc.subjectMarkov Switching Model-
dc.subjectState Space Model-
dc.subjectSpectral Analysis-
dc.subjectDSGE model-
dc.subjectKonjunktur-
dc.subjectVolatilität-
dc.subjectWirtschaftswachstum-
dc.subjectHysteresis-
dc.subjectStrukturwandel-
dc.subjectSchätzung-
dc.subjectDeutschland-
dc.titleDeclining Output Volatility in Germany : Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of Monetary Policy-
dc.typedoc-type:workingPaper-
dc.coverage1970-1990-
Appears in Collections:EconStor

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