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http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18063| Title: | Mis-Leading Indicators? The Argentinean Currency Crisis |
| Keywords: | F31 F47 ddc:330 Currency Crisis Early Warning Systems Währungskrise Wirtschaftsindikator Frühwarnsystem Argentinien |
| Issue Date: | 16-Oct-2013 |
| Publisher: | Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlin |
| Description: | Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from recession for years the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis has surprised most observers. This paper analyzes whether the ?early warning? or ?signals? approach of Kaminsky (1998), Kaminsky/Lizondo/Reinhart (1998) and Kaminsky/Reinhart (1999) could have predicted the Argentinean currency crisis at an earlier point in time. Using a broad set of indicators, it is shown that the forecasting quality of this approach was poor in the case of Argentina. |
| URI: | http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18063 |
| Other Identifiers: | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18063 ppn:368872785 |
| Appears in Collections: | EconStor |
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