Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17930
Title: Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy
Keywords: C32
E17
F47
R11
ddc:330
Global VAR
interdependencies
Fisher relationship
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
Purchasing Power Parity
persistence profile
Issue Date: 16-Oct-2013
Publisher: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
Description: This paper focuses on testing long run macroeconomic relations for interest rates, equity, prices and exchange rates within a model of the global economy. It considers a number of plausible long run relationships suggested by arbitrage in financial and goods markets, and uses the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model developed in Dees, di Mauro, Pesaran and Smith (2007) to test for long run restrictions in each country/region conditioning on the rest of the world. Bootstrapping is used to compute both the empirical distribution of the impulse responses and the log-likelihood ratio statistic for over-identifying restrictions. The paper also examines the speed with which adjustments to the long run relations take place via the persistence profiles. We find strong evidence in favour of the uncovered interest parity and to a lesser extent the Fisher equation across a number of countries, but our results for the PPP are much weaker. Also as to be expected, the transmission of shocks and subsequent adjustments in financial markets are much faster than those in goods markets.
URI: http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17930
Other Identifiers: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/17930
ppn:558066933
RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:5521
Appears in Collections:EconStor

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